Tuesday, February 05, 2008

2/5/08: Now - Panola County

Target verified - reports are coming out of this cell that there is a tornado on the ground. Panola county is in the path. I'll take that as a verified forecast.
Mississippi target

F5Data has a model developed by Andrew Revering called "APRWX Tornado" that did really well with today as far back as the 00z NAM two days prior. Admittedly, I didn't spend much time forecasting this event because it didn't affect me. It's times like this that I just use composite maps. I have had success before with this particular model within the program so I used it again... Talk about a pinpoint forecast...
Here's a RUC rendering from earlier in the afternoon for 00z using F-5.

This looks like it could be a monumental outbreak as storms trek toward the Memphis metro. Hope everyone is paying attention.

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